Austin Peay 
W-L: (17-14) PR = 93.6734
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1112 H Vanderbilt SEC V (28- 5, 98.1) 65-75
1116 A Indiana St MV (10-22, 92.7) 77-73
1120 A Chattanooga SO (18-11, 93.6) 68-54
1129 A Kansas City SM ( 3-23, 91.7) 66-46
1206 H Murray St MV (29- 4, 95.7) 56-74
1214 A Evansville MV (10-25, 92.8) 63-57
1220 A Ill-Chicago MV (14-18, 93.5) 59-48
1222 A Loyola Chic A10 (16-19, 94.0) 57-47
101 A Jacksonville AS (22- 9, 94.6) 71-65
103 A No Florida AS ( 8-21, 92.3) 80-55
108 H Fl Gulf Co AS (14-16, 93.8) 54-58
110 H Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 53-56
115 A Bellarmine AS ( 1-30, 90.8) 67-39
117 H Lipscomb AS ( 8-20, 92.5) 45-51
122 A Fl Gulf Co AS (14-16, 93.8) 74-66
124 A Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 86-81
129 H No Florida AS ( 8-21, 92.3) 66-69
131 H Jacksonville AS (22- 9, 94.6) 68-70
204 H No Alabama AS (16-14, 93.4) 50-55
207 H Ea Kentucky AS (24- 9, 94.4) 60-67
212 A Queens Univ AS ( 8-20, 91.9) 85-47
214 H We Georgia AS (16-13, 93.3) 74-95
218 H Ce Arkansas AS (20-11, 94.1) 63-67
221 A Bellarmine AS ( 1-30, 90.8) 82-41
225 H Ea Kentucky AS (24- 9, 94.4) 54-67
227 A Lipscomb AS ( 8-20, 92.5) 48-43
303 A Lipscomb AS ( 8-20, 92.5) 63-56
305 A Ea Kentucky AS (24- 9, 94.4) 45-41
307 A Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 68-52
309 H Jacksonville AS (22- 9, 94.6) 63-66
319 H UTRGV SL (19-14, 93.6) 59-71
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1112 H Vanderbilt 65-75 -10 -4 0.00
1116 A Indiana St 77-73 4 1 0.99
1120 A Chattanooga 68-54 14 0 1.96
1129 A Kansas City 66-46 20 2 0.05
1206 H Murray St 56-74 -18 -2 -0.01
1214 A Evansville 63-57 6 1 1.13
1220 A Ill-Chicago 59-48 11 0 1.85
1222 A Loyola Chic 57-47 10 0 + 2.37
101 A Jacksonville 71-65 6 -1 + 2.92
103 A No Florida 80-55 25 1 0.66
108 H Fl Gulf Co 54-58 -4 0 -1.88
110 H Stetson 53-56 -3 0 -1.75
115 A Bellarmine 67-39 28 3 0.00
117 H Lipscomb 45-51 -6 1 - -3.18
122 A Fl Gulf Co 74-66 8 0 + 2.14
124 A Stetson 86-81 5 0 + 2.27
129 H No Florida 66-69 -3 1 - -3.36
131 H Jacksonville 68-70 -2 -1 -1.10
204 H No Alabama 50-55 -5 0 - -2.28
207 H Ea Kentucky 60-67 -7 -1 -1.27
212 A Queens Univ 85-47 38 2 0.22
214 H We Georgia 74-95 -21 0 - -2.41
218 H Ce Arkansas 63-67 -4 0 -1.57
221 A Bellarmine 82-41 41 3 0.00
225 H Ea Kentucky 54-67 -13 -1 -1.27
227 A Lipscomb 48-43 5 1 0.84
303 A Lipscomb 63-56 7 1 0.84
305 A Ea Kentucky 45-41 4 -1 + 2.75
307 A Stetson 68-52 16 0 + 2.27
309 H Jacksonville 63-66 -3 -1 -1.10
319 H UTRGV 59-71 -12 0 - -2.07
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
117 H Lipscomb 45-51 -6 1 - -3.18
129 H No Florida 66-69 -3 1 - -3.36
204 H No Alabama 50-55 -5 0 - -2.28
214 H We Georgia 74-95 -21 0 - -2.41
319 H UTRGV 59-71 -12 0 - -2.07
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1222 A Loyola Chic 57-47 10 0 + 2.37
101 A Jacksonville 71-65 6 -1 + 2.92
122 A Fl Gulf Co 74-66 8 0 + 2.14
124 A Stetson 86-81 5 0 + 2.27
305 A Ea Kentucky 45-41 4 -1 + 2.75
307 A Stetson 68-52 16 0 + 2.27
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Vanderbilt (28- 5, 98.1) 65-75 -1.85 9.11 -0.01 0.98 -0.91
3 A Indiana St (10-22, 92.7) 77-73 -7.25 3.71 0.01 0.98 7.29
3 A Chattanooga (18-11, 93.6) 68-54 -6.27 4.69 0.01 0.98 9.20
3 A Kansas City ( 3-23, 91.7) 66-46 -8.19 2.77 0.01 0.98 5.44
3 H Murray St (29- 4, 95.7) 56-74 -4.22 6.74 -0.01 0.98 -2.07
3 A Evansville (10-25, 92.8) 63-57 -7.11 3.85 0.01 0.98 7.56
3 A Ill-Chicago (14-18, 93.5) 59-48 -6.38 4.58 0.01 0.98 8.98
3 A Loyola Chic (16-19, 94.0) 57-47 -5.87 5.09 0.01 0.98 9.98
3 A Jacksonville (22- 9, 94.6) 71-65 -5.32 5.64 0.01 0.98 11.07
3 A No Florida ( 8-21, 92.3) 80-55 -7.58 3.38 0.01 0.98 6.65
3 H Fl Gulf Co (14-16, 93.8) 54-58 -6.10 4.86 -0.01 0.98 -2.99
3 H Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 53-56 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 0.98 -2.93
3 A Bellarmine ( 1-30, 90.8) 67-39 -9.12 1.84 0.01 0.98 3.63
3 H Lipscomb ( 8-20, 92.5) 45-51 -7.39 3.57 -0.01 0.98 -3.62
3 A Fl Gulf Co (14-16, 93.8) 74-66 -6.10 4.86 0.01 0.98 9.54
3 A Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 86-81 -5.97 4.99 0.01 0.98 9.80
3 H No Florida ( 8-21, 92.3) 66-69 -7.58 3.38 -0.01 0.98 -3.71
3 H Jacksonville (22- 9, 94.6) 68-70 -5.32 5.64 -0.01 0.98 -2.61
3 H No Alabama (16-14, 93.4) 50-55 -6.50 4.46 -0.01 0.98 -3.19
3 H Ea Kentucky (24- 9, 94.4) 60-67 -5.49 5.47 -0.01 0.98 -2.69
3 A Queens Univ ( 8-20, 91.9) 85-47 -8.02 2.94 0.01 0.98 5.78
3 H We Georgia (16-13, 93.3) 74-95 -6.62 4.34 -0.01 0.98 -3.25
3 H Ce Arkansas (20-11, 94.1) 63-67 -5.79 5.17 -0.01 0.98 -2.84
3 A Bellarmine ( 1-30, 90.8) 82-41 -9.12 1.84 0.01 0.98 3.63
3 H Ea Kentucky (24- 9, 94.4) 54-67 -5.49 5.47 -0.01 0.98 -2.69
3 A Lipscomb ( 8-20, 92.5) 48-43 -7.39 3.57 0.01 0.98 7.00
3 A Lipscomb ( 8-20, 92.5) 63-56 -7.39 3.57 0.01 0.98 7.00
3 A Ea Kentucky (24- 9, 94.4) 45-41 -5.49 5.47 0.01 0.98 10.73
3 A Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 68-52 -5.97 4.99 0.01 0.98 9.80
3 H Jacksonville (22- 9, 94.6) 63-66 -5.32 5.64 -0.01 0.98 -2.61
3 H UTRGV (19-14, 93.6) 59-71 -6.29 4.67 -0.01 0.98 -3.08
------
93.89
|
winning pts = 133.0751 losing points = -39.1867
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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